Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria

Usoro Anthony Effiong; John Eme Eseme

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria

Usoro Anthony Effiong, John Eme Eseme

Published in American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics (Volume 8, Issue 6)

Received: 13 October 2019 Accepted: 12 November 2019 Published: 4 December 2019

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Abstract

In this work, volatility of Internally Generated Revenue of Akwa Ibom State with the contributory effects of its components was the major interest. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ARCH (1) model adopted revealed volatility in the IGR. This motivated investigation of the components as contributory factors to the volatility. The OLS regression of IGR volatility on the K-components revealed the contribution of each component to the IGR volatility. The F test result showed overall fitness of the regression model. Individual T test placed tax revenue volatility higher than any other component. The volatility in the tax revenue is explained by the inconsistency in the growing trend of the tax revenue. This is attributed to laxities in the revenue generation mechanism, therefore posing challenges to the revenue system. The revenue generation system in the state requires sound leadership in the Board of Internal Revenue, good revenue driven policy, transparent tax revenue consulting and innovative approaches by the labour force for improved revenue system. Government willingness to address the prevailing issues would enhance stability in the revenue generation, therefore, helping to reduce volatility and cope with the challenges of financial planning in Akwa Ibom State.

Published in	American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics (Volume 8, Issue 6)
DOI	10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19
Page(s)	276-286
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2019. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Volatility, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Internally Generated Revenue, Tax Revenue

References

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Usoro Anthony Effiong, John Eme Eseme. (2019). Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 8(6), 276-286. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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ACS Style

Usoro Anthony Effiong; John Eme Eseme. Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. Am. J. Theor. Appl. Stat. 2019, 8(6), 276-286. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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AMA Style

Usoro Anthony Effiong, John Eme Eseme. Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. Am J Theor Appl Stat. 2019;8(6):276-286. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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@article{10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19,
  author = {Usoro Anthony Effiong and John Eme Eseme},
  title = {Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria},
  journal = {American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics},
  volume = {8},
  number = {6},
  pages = {276-286},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajtas.20190806.19},
  abstract = {In this work, volatility of Internally Generated Revenue of Akwa Ibom State with the contributory effects of its components was the major interest. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ARCH (1) model adopted revealed volatility in the IGR. This motivated investigation of the components as contributory factors to the volatility. The OLS regression of IGR volatility on the K-components revealed the contribution of each component to the IGR volatility. The F test result showed overall fitness of the regression model. Individual T test placed tax revenue volatility higher than any other component. The volatility in the tax revenue is explained by the inconsistency in the growing trend of the tax revenue. This is attributed to laxities in the revenue generation mechanism, therefore posing challenges to the revenue system. The revenue generation system in the state requires sound leadership in the Board of Internal Revenue, good revenue driven policy, transparent tax revenue consulting and innovative approaches by the labour force for improved revenue system. Government willingness to address the prevailing issues would enhance stability in the revenue generation, therefore, helping to reduce volatility and cope with the challenges of financial planning in Akwa Ibom State.},
 year = {2019}
}

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TY - JOUR
T1 - Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria
AU - Usoro Anthony Effiong
AU - John Eme Eseme
Y1 - 2019/12/04
PY - 2019
N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19
DO - 10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19
T2 - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
JF - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
JO - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
SP - 276
EP - 286
PB - Science Publishing Group
SN - 2326-9006
UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19
AB - In this work, volatility of Internally Generated Revenue of Akwa Ibom State with the contributory effects of its components was the major interest. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ARCH (1) model adopted revealed volatility in the IGR. This motivated investigation of the components as contributory factors to the volatility. The OLS regression of IGR volatility on the K-components revealed the contribution of each component to the IGR volatility. The F test result showed overall fitness of the regression model. Individual T test placed tax revenue volatility higher than any other component. The volatility in the tax revenue is explained by the inconsistency in the growing trend of the tax revenue. This is attributed to laxities in the revenue generation mechanism, therefore posing challenges to the revenue system. The revenue generation system in the state requires sound leadership in the Board of Internal Revenue, good revenue driven policy, transparent tax revenue consulting and innovative approaches by the labour force for improved revenue system. Government willingness to address the prevailing issues would enhance stability in the revenue generation, therefore, helping to reduce volatility and cope with the challenges of financial planning in Akwa Ibom State.
VL - 8
IS - 6
ER -

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Author Information

Usoro Anthony Effiong

Department of Statistics, Faculty of Physical Sciences, Akwa Ibom State University, Mkpat Enin, Nigera
John Eme Eseme

Department of Statistics, Faculty of Physical Sciences, Akwa Ibom State University, Mkpat Enin, Nigera

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APA Style

Usoro Anthony Effiong, John Eme Eseme. (2019). Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 8(6), 276-286. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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ACS Style

Usoro Anthony Effiong; John Eme Eseme. Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. Am. J. Theor. Appl. Stat. 2019, 8(6), 276-286. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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AMA Style

Usoro Anthony Effiong, John Eme Eseme. Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. Am J Theor Appl Stat. 2019;8(6):276-286. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19

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@article{10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19,
  author = {Usoro Anthony Effiong and John Eme Eseme},
  title = {Volatility of Internally Generated Revenue and Effects of Its Major Components: A Case of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria},
  journal = {American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics},
  volume = {8},
  number = {6},
  pages = {276-286},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20190806.19},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajtas.20190806.19},
  abstract = {In this work, volatility of Internally Generated Revenue of Akwa Ibom State with the contributory effects of its components was the major interest. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity ARCH (1) model adopted revealed volatility in the IGR. This motivated investigation of the components as contributory factors to the volatility. The OLS regression of IGR volatility on the K-components revealed the contribution of each component to the IGR volatility. The F test result showed overall fitness of the regression model. Individual T test placed tax revenue volatility higher than any other component. The volatility in the tax revenue is explained by the inconsistency in the growing trend of the tax revenue. This is attributed to laxities in the revenue generation mechanism, therefore posing challenges to the revenue system. The revenue generation system in the state requires sound leadership in the Board of Internal Revenue, good revenue driven policy, transparent tax revenue consulting and innovative approaches by the labour force for improved revenue system. Government willingness to address the prevailing issues would enhance stability in the revenue generation, therefore, helping to reduce volatility and cope with the challenges of financial planning in Akwa Ibom State.},
 year = {2019}
}

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